BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Virginia St

Class: 2 Class Rank: 106 Conference: Central Intercollegiate Athletic Association Record: (4-3) Overall: (4-5) Overall Strength =   92.40

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/01/2018 Away    L    92.39  13  34   1B 105 (  4-  7) Norfolk St              0.71    -21.71                      
  2 09/08/2018 Away    L    96.14  19  22   1B 122 (  2-  9) Robert Morris PA        4.47     -7.47                      
  3 09/22/2018 Away    W *  95.80  43  14    2 163 (  2-  8) Johnson C. Smith        4.12     24.88                      
  4 09/29/2018 Home    W *  99.85  34  17    2 130 (  5-  5) Shaw                    8.18      8.82                      
  5 10/06/2018 Home    W *  81.71  41  19    2 164 (  1-  7) Elizabeth City St      -9.96 *   31.96                      
  6 10/13/2018 Away    L *  93.94  15  20    2  79 ( 10-  3) Bowie St                2.27     -7.27                      
  7 10/20/2018 Home    W *  96.55  54   7    2 168 (  1-  9) Lincoln PA              4.88 *   42.12                      
  8 10/27/2018 Home    L *  86.36  38  45    2  86 (  6-  4) Chowan                 -5.31     -1.69                      
  9 11/03/2018 Away    L *  82.32  19  46    2  81 (  8-  2) Virginia Union         -9.36    -17.64                      
      Averages              91.68  30.7 24.9

Best game:   99.85 = 17 point win over Shaw
Worst game:  81.71 = 22 point win over Elizabeth City St
Team stdev:   6.60